The Swing Voter in American Politics by William G. Mayer PDF
By William G. Mayer
"Swing electorate" occupy a critical position in American political lore. applicants courtroom them, experts goal them, and pundits speculate always on which method they are going to lean. yet no one has correctly outlined them as a gaggle. What precisely is a swing voter? nobody relatively turns out to understand. The Swing Voter in American Politics fills this conceptual hole via bringing political scientists and pollsters jointly to reply to 4 easy questions: what's a swing voter? How can analysts use survey info to spot them? How do swing citizens differ-if at all-from the remainder of the voters? And what function do they play in deciding on the results of latest elections? Drawing on quite a lot of resources, together with American nationwide Election experiences info, Gallup polls, Pew middle surveys, and the nationwide Annenberg Election Survey, the authors tune swing citizens throughout six many years and in nationwide and native elections. the result's an remarkable photo of this key political workforce. members: James E. Campbell (University at Buffalo), April Clark (Pew study heart for the folks and the Press), Adam Clymer (Annenberg Public coverage heart, collage of Pennsylvania), Michael Dimock (Pew examine heart for the folk and the Press), Juliana Menasce Horowitz (Pew study middle for the folk and the Press), Jeffrey M. Jones (Gallup Organization), Daron R. Shaw (University of Texas-Austin), Jeffrey M. Stonecash (Syracuse University), Ruy Teixeira (Center for American growth and The Century Foundation), Ken Winneg (Annenberg Public coverage heart, college of Pennsylvania).
Read or Download The Swing Voter in American Politics PDF
Similar elections books
Venture President is a hilarious romp via American electoral heritage.
From brief, fats, bald John Adams' wig-throwing tantrums throughout the 1800 election to Abraham Lincoln's selection to develop a beard in 1860; from John F. Kennedy's option to forgo the fedora at his inauguration to John Kerry's selection to get Botoxed for the 2004 race; from the Golden Age of Facial Hair (1860-1912) to the Age of the Banker (1912-1960); from Washington's fake enamel to George W. Bush's work out routine, venture President tells the tale of America's love affair with presidential seems to be and visual appeal, why that regularly concerns greater than a politico's positions at the matters, and what could good be coming subsequent.
"I'm continuously mentioning the facility of costume. It's semiology: our outfits ship a message approximately how we wish to be perceived, and the place is that this extra strong and obtrusive than in elected places of work. In undertaking President, Ben Shapiro captures presidential semiotics with a powerful narrative and deft research. It's concurrently interesting and hilarious! "
Project Runway, Liz Claiborne, Inc.
"Ben Shapiro takes a romp via American historical past and exhibits how personality--and even haircuts--have elected or defeated presidential applicants. It's a journey via historical past that enthusiasts of either events will enjoy-and can research from. "
Resident student, American firm Institute
Senior author, U. S. information & international Report
Co-author, The Almanac of yankee Politics
"Presidential politics has regularly been extra superficial than we'd prefer to admit. With a trendy and likeable contact befitting a robust candidate, Ben Shapiro takes us deep into the vanity that has formed American heritage. "
"Shapiro deftly explains how top, hair and handsomeness can have an effect on a candidate's crusade up to concerns. A enjoyable, informative learn. "
Nationally syndicated speak express host
Host of CNN's The Glenn Beck convey
"A hilarious and illuminating trip via America's centuries-long fascination with presidential image-making. no matter if you're left, correct, reasonable or apathetic, this vigorous e-book gets you prepared for the packaging of the '08 races. "
"This is a perceptive, witty-sometimes hilarious-look on the realities in the back of the faces and the facades, the slogans and the nature assassinations, of every presidential crusade from George Washington to at the present time - with a lot for us to think about for day after today. "
-Sir Martin Gilbert
Official biographer of Winston Churchill
"An pleasing and illuminating romp during the politics of symbolism and character in our presidential politics. If you're taking into consideration operating for president, learn this booklet earlier than you spend a dime on a political advisor. "
COLMES: Who do you need [for the superb Court]?
ANN COULTER: thanks for asking. i need Ben Shapiro.
COLMES: Ben Shapiro.
ANN COULTER: certain. He simply accomplished his first 12 months at Harvard legislation, 21 years previous.
COLMES: You suggest for a date or for the court docket?
ANN COULTER: No, for the courtroom. He's my candidate. He's very brilliant. He's already written one best-selling booklet.
COLMES: you need to placed a 21-year-old man at the court docket?
ANN COULTER: Twenty-one, and he's simply comprehensive first yr of Harvard legislation.
COLMES: so that you wish anyone who's going to be at the court docket for fifty, 60 years? Is that - is that the complete concept?
ANN COULTER: No, I simply take place to love Ben Shapiro.
Hannity and Colmes
Fox information Channel
July eight, 2005
India's 2009 Elections is an inquiry into the fifteenth basic Elections of India. It explores how the elections performed out, what elements motivated the voters, and the way the elections are a big contribution to India’s democracy. Authored by means of popular students and analysts from quite a few backgrounds, the gathering of articles seriously examines a number of parts of the Indian polity.
During this very important and well timed quantity, Dennis W. Johnson has assembled a superb staff of political technology and political journalism students and veteran crusade experts to ascertain the main interesting presidential crusade in reminiscence. Campaigning for President 2008 specializes in the recommendations and strategies utilized by the presidential applicants, the recent voices and new innovations used to generate aid and convince citizens, and the actions of out of doors pursuits attempting to impression the result.
NOW a brand new YORK occasions BESTSELLER! a detailed presidential election in November may good come all the way down to contested states or perhaps districts--an election determined through vote robbery? it will probably ensue this 12 months. in line with Greg Palast and Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. 's investigative reporting for Rolling Stone and BBC tv, Billionaires & poll Bandits: how one can scouse borrow an Election in nine effortless Steps might be an important booklet released this year--one which can store the election.
- Fault Lines: Why the Republicans Lost Congress (Controversies in Electoral Democracy and Representation)
- The Sleeping Sovereign: The Invention of Modern Democracy
- Election Fraud: Detecting and Deterring Electoral Manipulation (Brookings Series on Election Administration and Reform)
- Felony Disenfranchisement in America: Historical Origins, Institutional Racism, and Modern Consequences
- Democratic Phoenix: Reinventing Political Activism
- The Election of Barack Obama: How He Won
Additional info for The Swing Voter in American Politics
The concept can be defined so that it does have a clear meaning and can be readily operationalized in election surveys. It also contributes something new and valuable to election studies, by reminding us that in the context of 25. The 2000–04 panel, which Daron R. Shaw analyzes in chapter 4 of this volume, has only a postelection component in 2004. This is fine for his purposes, but my own measure, it will be recalled, requires thermometer ratings from the preelection survey. 26. All results are for major-party presidential voters only.
Moderates, by contrast, are less certain about which nominee better represents their opinions and interests and thus more likely to waver. At the level of ideological self-description, this hypothesis has a considerable measure of truth. The National Election Studies generally measure ideology on a seven-point scale, ranging from extreme liberals to extreme conservatives. And as shown in table 1-8, swing voters are more likely to come from the center of the scale and less likely to be found on the extremes than are nonswing voters, a difference that is highly significant in every survey.
A. Sracic. 1999. Encyclopedia of American Parties, Campaigns, and Elections. : Greenwood. Brody, R. , and B. I. Page. 1973. ” Public Choice 15: 1–17. , P. E. Converse, W. E. Miller, D. E. Stokes. 1960. The American Voter. New York: Wiley. , G. Gurin, and W. E. Miller. 1954. The Voter Decides. : Greenwood. Campbell, J. E. 2000. S. Presidential Campaigns and the National Vote. Texas A&M University Press. Conover, P. , and S. Feldman. 1981. ” American Journal of Political Science 25: 617–45. Delli Carpini, M.
The Swing Voter in American Politics by William G. Mayer