The Swing Voter in American Politics by William G. Mayer PDF

Posted On April 20, 2018 at 6:53 pm by / Comments Off on The Swing Voter in American Politics by William G. Mayer PDF

By William G. Mayer

ISBN-10: 0815755309

ISBN-13: 9780815755302

ISBN-10: 0815755325

ISBN-13: 9780815755326

"Swing electorate" occupy a critical position in American political lore. applicants courtroom them, experts goal them, and pundits speculate always on which method they are going to lean. yet no one has correctly outlined them as a gaggle. What precisely is a swing voter? nobody relatively turns out to understand. The Swing Voter in American Politics fills this conceptual hole via bringing political scientists and pollsters jointly to reply to 4 easy questions: what's a swing voter? How can analysts use survey info to spot them? How do swing citizens differ-if at all-from the remainder of the voters? And what function do they play in deciding on the results of latest elections? Drawing on quite a lot of resources, together with American nationwide Election experiences info, Gallup polls, Pew middle surveys, and the nationwide Annenberg Election Survey, the authors tune swing citizens throughout six many years and in nationwide and native elections. the result's an remarkable photo of this key political workforce. members: James E. Campbell (University at Buffalo), April Clark (Pew study heart for the folks and the Press), Adam Clymer (Annenberg Public coverage heart, collage of Pennsylvania), Michael Dimock (Pew examine heart for the folk and the Press), Juliana Menasce Horowitz (Pew study middle for the folk and the Press), Jeffrey M. Jones (Gallup Organization), Daron R. Shaw (University of Texas-Austin), Jeffrey M. Stonecash (Syracuse University), Ruy Teixeira (Center for American growth and The Century Foundation), Ken Winneg (Annenberg Public coverage heart, college of Pennsylvania).

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The concept can be defined so that it does have a clear meaning and can be readily operationalized in election surveys. It also contributes something new and valuable to election studies, by reminding us that in the context of 25. The 2000–04 panel, which Daron R. Shaw analyzes in chapter 4 of this volume, has only a postelection component in 2004. This is fine for his purposes, but my own measure, it will be recalled, requires thermometer ratings from the preelection survey. 26. All results are for major-party presidential voters only.

Moderates, by contrast, are less certain about which nominee better represents their opinions and interests and thus more likely to waver. At the level of ideological self-description, this hypothesis has a considerable measure of truth. The National Election Studies generally measure ideology on a seven-point scale, ranging from extreme liberals to extreme conservatives. And as shown in table 1-8, swing voters are more likely to come from the center of the scale and less likely to be found on the extremes than are nonswing voters, a difference that is highly significant in every survey.

A. Sracic. 1999. Encyclopedia of American Parties, Campaigns, and Elections. : Greenwood. Brody, R. , and B. I. Page. 1973. ” Public Choice 15: 1–17. , P. E. Converse, W. E. Miller, D. E. Stokes. 1960. The American Voter. New York: Wiley. , G. Gurin, and W. E. Miller. 1954. The Voter Decides. : Greenwood. Campbell, J. E. 2000. S. Presidential Campaigns and the National Vote. Texas A&M University Press. Conover, P. , and S. Feldman. 1981. ” American Journal of Political Science 25: 617–45. Delli Carpini, M.

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