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By Derek Eaton, Seth G. Jones, Thomas S. Szayna, Steven C. Bankes, Daniel L. Byman
A framework for intelligence analysts to take advantage of to imagine systematically concerning the capability for the increase of a peer competitor to the U.S..
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Additional info for The Emergence of Peer Competitors: A Framework for Analysis
Tighter alliances—ones that produce the most power— take time to build. This suggests that coordinated military operations are not likely to take place for many years, allowing the hegemon ______________ 50Snyder, Alliance Politics, p. 46. The Rise of a Peer 37 considerable breathing space. Tighter agreements that involve the coordination of military forces or the synchronization of strategies will take longer to implement, particularly if they require the redeployment of forces or a change in military organization or size to meet the new obligations.
3 These institutions either were new or replaced ones with a similar role (such as the United Nations replacing the League of Nations), and the United States has dominated their functioning. 4 Within the hierarchy of power in the international state system, the main distinction is between the states that are satisfied with the rules and those that are not. By definition, since the hegemon sets up and then upholds the rules, the hegemon is satisfied. But many other states perceive the rules as detrimental or at least not optimal in terms of their interests and, to a varying extent, are dissatisfied.
We do not subscribe to the idea of inevitability of conflict, nor do we accept the strictly economic formulation of national power that is common among the power transition theorists. For a recent review of the power transition literature, see Jonathan M. DiCicco and Jack S. Levy, “Power Shifts and Problem Shifts: The Evolution of the Power Transition Research Program,” Journal of Conflict Resolution, 43:6 (December 1999), pp. 675–704. K. Organski, World Politics, New York: Alfred A. K. ), Parity and War: Evaluations and Extensions of “The War Ledger,” Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press, 1996.
The Emergence of Peer Competitors: A Framework for Analysis by Derek Eaton, Seth G. Jones, Thomas S. Szayna, Steven C. Bankes, Daniel L. Byman